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美國石油(you)庫存下降推漲油(you)價(jia)，CBOT農產(chan)品(pin)全線(xian)上(shang)漲

日期：2022-10-21
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摘要：10月20日(ri)，芝加哥玉米(mi)、小麥和大豆全線上(shang)漲；美油、布油分別上(shang)漲1.10%、0.87%；因美元指數(shu)下跌，紐(niu)約金(jin)價上(shang)漲0.81%；受美元走軟(ruan)影響，倫敦金(jin)屬(shu)交易(yi)所基本金(jin)屬(shu)價格收盤時多數(shu)上(shang)漲。

【農產品】

因美(mei)國(guo)能源數(shu)據積極(ji)，芝(zhi)加哥期(qi)(qi)貨(huo)交易(yi)所(suo)玉米、小(xiao)麥(mai)和大豆期(qi)(qi)價20日全線(xian)上漲(zhang)。當天，芝(zhi)加哥期(qi)(qi)貨(huo)交易(yi)所(suo)玉米市場交投最活躍(yue)的12月合約(yue)收(shou)(shou)于每(mei)(mei)蒲(pu)(pu)式耳5.3925美(mei)元，比前一交易(yi)日上漲(zhang)9美(mei)分(fen)，漲(zhang)幅為1.7%；小(xiao)麥(mai)12月合約(yue)收(shou)(shou)于每(mei)(mei)蒲(pu)(pu)式耳7.4925美(mei)元，比前一交易(yi)日上漲(zhang)13.25美(mei)分(fen)，漲(zhang)幅為1.8%；大豆11月合約(yue)收(shou)(shou)于每(mei)(mei)蒲(pu)(pu)式耳12.455美(mei)元，比前一交易(yi)日上漲(zhang)17.5美(mei)分(fen)，漲(zhang)幅為1.43%。

美(mei)(mei)國能源信息署20日數據(ju)顯示(shi)，截至10月15日一周(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)，美(mei)(mei)國乙醇產(chan)量(liang)為3.22億加(jia)侖，比前一周(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)增(zeng)加(jia)1900萬加(jia)侖，為有(you)紀錄以來周(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)產(chan)量(liang)第三高。與此同(tong)時，上周(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)美(mei)(mei)國乙醇庫存沒有(you)明顯增(zeng)加(jia)。上周(zhou)(zhou)(zhou)美(mei)(mei)國原油(you)庫存總計4.265億桶，同(tong)比下降13%。在全球通脹盛行，人均食品庫存緊張(zhang)的情況(kuang)下，市場(chang)(chang)分析(xi)機(ji)構認為新資金流(liu)入農產(chan)品市場(chang)(chang)的現象將持續至2022年年初(chu)，積極的季節性趨勢將持續至冬天。

阿根(gen)廷土壤濕度繼續下(xia)降，下(xia)周或(huo)催(cui)發異常高(gao)溫(wen)天(tian)氣(qi)。這(zhe)種高(gao)溫(wen)天(tian)氣(qi)預計(ji)將持(chi)續至11月初。與此同時(shi)，巴西中部(bu)和北(bei)部(bu)接近理(li)想的(de)天(tian)氣(qi)狀態將持(chi)續至11月初。密西西比(bi)河以東24日至26日將迎來大雨。下(xia)周末期(qi)中西部(bu)地(di)區東部(bu)將恢(hui)復干燥天(tian)氣(qi)。（芝(zhi)加哥分社記(ji)者徐(xu)靜）

【能源】

由于上周美(mei)國石油庫(ku)存顯著下(xia)降，國際(ji)原油期(qi)(qi)貨價格(ge)在隔夜市(shi)場下(xia)跌，20日早盤(pan)(pan)(pan)快(kuai)速走高并(bing)由跌轉漲，隨(sui)后強勢(shi)盤(pan)(pan)(pan)整，收(shou)(shou)盤(pan)(pan)(pan)時(shi)國際(ji)原油期(qi)(qi)貨價格(ge)均上漲。截至(zhi)當天收(shou)(shou)盤(pan)(pan)(pan)時(shi)，紐約商(shang)品交易所(suo)2021年11月(yue)交貨的輕質(zhi)原油期(qi)(qi)貨價格(ge)上漲0.91美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，收(shou)(shou)于每(mei)(mei)桶83.87美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，漲幅為(wei)1.10%。2021年12月(yue)交貨的倫敦布倫特原油期(qi)(qi)貨價格(ge)則上漲了0.74美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，收(shou)(shou)于每(mei)(mei)桶85.82美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，漲幅為(wei)0.87%。

美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)能(neng)源信息局在20日公布的數(shu)據顯(xian)示，上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)商(shang)(shang)業(ye)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)量(liang)為(wei)4.265億桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)40萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，而市場預期(qi)為(wei)環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)上(shang)(shang)(shang)漲。同期(qi)，美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)車用(yong)汽油(you)和(he)蒸餾油(you)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)分別(bie)環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)顯(xian)著下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)540萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)和(he)390萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，丙(bing)烷和(he)丙(bing)烯庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)量(liang)則環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)增加(jia)了(le)(le)(le)(le)190萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)。包(bao)括商(shang)(shang)業(ye)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)、成(cheng)品油(you)、丙(bing)烷和(he)丙(bing)烯等在內(nei)，上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)商(shang)(shang)業(ye)石(shi)油(you)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)980萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)。同期(qi)，美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)煉(lian)廠(chang)日均(jun)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)加(jia)工量(liang)為(wei)1500萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)7.1萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)；上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)煉(lian)廠(chang)平(ping)均(jun)開(kai)工率為(wei)84.7%，低于前一周(zhou)的86.7%；上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)日均(jun)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)凈進口(kou)量(liang)為(wei)276.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)顯(xian)著下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)71.5萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)。此外，上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)庫(ku)(ku)欣(xin)地區商(shang)(shang)業(ye)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)量(liang)為(wei)3120萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)230萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)；上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)戰(zhan)略(lve)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)儲備(bei)規模為(wei)6.152億桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)169.4萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)；上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)日均(jun)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)產量(liang)為(wei)1130萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)10萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)。美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)石(shi)油(you)學會在19日晚些時候(hou)公布的數(shu)據顯(xian)示，上(shang)(shang)(shang)周(zhou)美(mei)(mei)(mei)國(guo)商(shang)(shang)業(ye)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)環(huan)(huan)(huan)增加(jia)了(le)(le)(le)(le)330萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，而汽油(you)和(he)蒸餾油(you)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)則分別(bie)環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)350萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)和(he)300萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)，庫(ku)(ku)欣(xin)地區商(shang)(shang)業(ye)原(yuan)(yuan)(yuan)油(you)庫(ku)(ku)存(cun)(cun)環(huan)(huan)(huan)比(bi)下(xia)(xia)降(jiang)(jiang)(jiang)了(le)(le)(le)(le)250萬(wan)(wan)(wan)(wan)桶(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)(tong)。

伊拉(la)克(ke)石(shi)油(you)(you)(you)部長(chang)伊赫桑(sang)?阿(a)(a)卜(bu)杜(du)爾?賈巴爾(IhsanAbdulJabbar)在(zai)(zai)20日(ri)預計(ji)，油(you)(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)在(zai)(zai)2022年(nian)第一至第二季度(du)將會達(da)(da)到(dao)(dao)(dao)每桶(tong)100美(mei)(mei)元的(de)水平，全球石(shi)油(you)(you)(you)庫存處(chu)于歷史低位(wei)。美(mei)(mei)國價(jia)(jia)格(ge)期貨集團高(gao)級市(shi)場分(fen)析師菲爾?弗林在(zai)(zai)20日(ri)表示(shi)(shi)，雖然預計(ji)原(yuan)油(you)(you)(you)期貨價(jia)(jia)格(ge)不會在(zai)(zai)今年(nian)達(da)(da)到(dao)(dao)(dao)每桶(tong)100美(mei)(mei)元的(de)水平，但(dan)可(ke)能會達(da)(da)到(dao)(dao)(dao)每桶(tong)88美(mei)(mei)元。如果天氣變冷的(de)時間(jian)提前，油(you)(you)(you)價(jia)(jia)可(ke)能會達(da)(da)到(dao)(dao)(dao)每桶(tong)99美(mei)(mei)元。沙特能源大臣阿(a)(a)卜(bu)杜(du)勒-阿(a)(a)齊(qi)茲?本(ben)?薩勒曼(man)（AbdulazizbinSalman）20日(ri)在(zai)(zai)印度(du)出席行業會議時表示(shi)(shi)，歐佩克(ke)與伙伴國在(zai)(zai)緩(huan)解天然氣供應危機方面可(ke)以發揮的(de)作用極(ji)為有限。如果北半球今年(nian)冬季冷于往(wang)常，石(shi)油(you)(you)(you)需求(qiu)可(ke)能會隨之(zhi)增加50-60萬桶(tong)/日(ri)，約占全球日(ri)均石(shi)油(you)(you)(you)需求(qiu)量的(de)0.5%。（北美(mei)(mei)總分(fen)社(she)記者劉亞南）

【金屬】

因美(mei)元(yuan)指數下跌，紐約商品交易所(suo)黃金期貨市場交投(tou)最活躍的2021年12月黃金期價20日(ri)比前一交易日(ri)上漲14.4美(mei)元(yuan)，收于每盎司1784.9美(mei)元(yuan)，漲幅為(wei)0.81%。

美(mei)國(guo)聯邦儲(chu)備委(wei)員會20日(ri)發布了有關美(mei)國(guo)經濟(ji)(ji)狀況的褐(he)皮(pi)(pi)書。褐(he)皮(pi)(pi)書說美(mei)國(guo)經濟(ji)(ji)增長“適度”，但(dan)是大部(bu)分地(di)區均報告物(wu)價大幅增長，加劇通脹擔憂。投資者也(ye)在等待將于(yu)22日(ri)發布的美(mei)國(guo)制造業采(cai)購(gou)經理人指數。市(shi)場分析人士認為，通脹擔憂可能促使美(mei)聯儲(chu)早于(yu)預期(qi)提(ti)高基準利率(lv)，加劇黃(huang)金(jin)面臨(lin)的逆風。

當天(tian)2021年12月(yue)交割的白(bai)(bai)銀期貨價格上(shang)漲(zhang)56.2美(mei)分(fen)，收于(yu)每(mei)盎司(si)24.445美(mei)元(yuan)，漲(zhang)幅為2.35%；1月(yue)交割的白(bai)(bai)金期貨價格上(shang)漲(zhang)5.2美(mei)元(yuan)，收于(yu)每(mei)盎司(si)1052.3美(mei)元(yuan)，漲(zhang)幅為0.5%。（芝加哥分(fen)社記(ji)者徐靜）

受美元走(zou)軟影響，倫敦金(jin)(jin)屬(shu)交(jiao)易所(suo)基本金(jin)(jin)屬(shu)價(jia)格20日收盤時多數上漲(zhang)。

3個月期銅收于每噸(dun)10210美元，比(bi)前(qian)一(yi)交(jiao)(jiao)易日(ri)上漲91美元，漲幅為(wei)0.90%。倫敦(dun)金(jin)屬交(jiao)(jiao)易所(suo)注冊倉庫(ku)的(de)銅庫(ku)存當天小幅增加(jia)2650噸(dun)至17875噸(dun)，仍(reng)徘(pai)徊在(zai)1998年(nian)(nian)以來的(de)最低(di)水(shui)平附近。經紀商Marex表(biao)示，鑒于倫敦(dun)金(jin)屬交(jiao)(jiao)易所(suo)庫(ku)存仍(reng)未出現從極(ji)低(di)水(shui)平增長的(de)明顯(xian)趨勢，而(er)能源供(gong)應緊張局面短期內還可(ke)能加(jia)劇(ju)，基本金(jin)屬可(ke)能將繼續獲得支撐。國(guo)際(ji)銅業研究組(zu)織（IGSG）在(zai)其最新月度報(bao)告中表(biao)示，全(quan)球(qiu)精(jing)煉銅市(shi)場7月缺(que)口為(wei)3.1萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)，6月缺(que)口為(wei)9.8萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)。該(gai)組(zu)織稱，今年(nian)(nian)前(qian)7個月，市(shi)場缺(que)口為(wei)13.8萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)，去年(nian)(nian)同期為(wei)短缺(que)4.1萬(wan)(wan)噸(dun)。

3個月期鉛收(shou)于每噸2433.5美元(yuan)，比前一交易日上(shang)漲69.5美元(yuan)，漲幅為2.94%。Fastmarkets分析師(shi)安迪·法里達認為，的(de)(de)任何(he)回調都是健(jian)康的(de)(de)技(ji)術盤整(zheng)，下跌(die)可能(neng)會吸引新的(de)(de)買家。”

其他金屬方面，3個(ge)(ge)(ge)月(yue)期鋁(lv)最終收于每(mei)(mei)噸(dun)(dun)3097美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，比前(qian)一(yi)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)日(ri)下跌6美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，跌幅為(wei)0.19%。3個(ge)(ge)(ge)月(yue)期鎳收于每(mei)(mei)噸(dun)(dun)21100美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，比前(qian)一(yi)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)日(ri)上漲(zhang)1030美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)幅為(wei)5.13%。3個(ge)(ge)(ge)月(yue)期錫收于每(mei)(mei)噸(dun)(dun)38330美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，比前(qian)一(yi)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)日(ri)上漲(zhang)570美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)幅為(wei)1.51%。3個(ge)(ge)(ge)月(yue)期鋅收于每(mei)(mei)噸(dun)(dun)3655.5美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，比前(qian)一(yi)交(jiao)(jiao)(jiao)易(yi)日(ri)上漲(zhang)105美(mei)元(yuan)(yuan)，漲(zhang)幅為(wei)2.96%。（倫敦分社記者楊(yang)海若）